Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 13.066005 14.870961 16.788410 18.972072 21.384869 23.964197 26.924857
2025-01-12 9.623305 11.936707 14.565547 17.754932 21.499538 25.735904 30.869337
2025-01-19 7.235903 9.747598 12.789282 16.700800 21.550314 27.315883 34.634667
2025-01-26 6.164634 8.938747 12.491432 17.294248 23.527379 31.246769 41.420615
2025-02-02 5.648217 8.740038 12.897398 18.762824 26.672440 36.803336 50.568863
2025-02-09 5.006495 8.257706 12.841051 19.575800 28.989576 41.427325 58.803390
2025-02-16 4.270690 7.516234 12.313970 19.652053 30.272584 44.727844 65.459893
2025-02-23 3.555261 6.685191 11.538514 19.261849 30.825433 47.019927 70.833240
2025-03-02 3.002614 6.020303 10.918697 19.010107 31.511578 49.482983 76.513206
2025-03-09 2.607820 5.554006 10.543948 19.072449 32.627767 52.572954 83.176199
2025-03-16 2.227056 5.046981 10.033914 18.853118 33.268171 54.966274 88.908618
2025-03-23 2.062201 4.916320 10.142723 19.639737 35.507904 59.820140 98.423948
2025-03-30 1.811755 4.586063 9.877647 19.799036 36.797668 63.368999 106.273428
2025-04-06 1.487742 4.043394 9.156065 19.094287 36.615084 64.627725 110.715091
2025-04-13 1.208520 3.538717 8.435742 18.310126 36.223675 65.512140 114.594428
2025-04-20 1.131940 3.486624 8.601276 19.167397 38.697731 71.095812 126.036743
2025-04-27 1.141047 3.644605 9.211729 20.910321 42.818165 79.527728 142.292223
2025-05-04 1.080151 3.614985 9.422814 21.892924 45.631372 85.910944 155.484014
2025-05-11 0.959289 3.404233 9.218005 22.035262 46.925862 89.806259 164.783979
2025-05-18 0.817040 3.102085 8.770062 21.642324 47.199815 91.972303 171.316501
2025-05-25 0.703265 2.853185 8.408460 21.387301 47.701474 94.528514 178.558366
2025-06-01 0.623440 2.686855 8.218095 21.469815 48.836201 98.207245 187.769788
2025-06-08 0.537769 2.478992 7.896993 21.236467 49.334530 100.772403 195.167388